PredictionAnalytics
Transparent, real-time tracking of prediction accuracy across every tier and league.
34
Predictions
Live
Win Rate
Win RateCLVTier A–DAll LeaguesHistorical
Live Version
optimizer-2026-04-13T22-57-52-043Z
Promoted Apr 14, 2026, 1:16 AM
Latest Candidate
optimizer-2026-04-13T22-57-52-043Z
Generated Apr 14, 2026, 12:57 AM
Last Run Status
Accepted
Parent optimizer-2026-04-12T22-58-11-969Z
Last Run Time
Apr 14, 2026, 1:16 AM
34 tracked runs
Current vs Candidate
Latest optimization decision deltas from the stored report artifacts.
ROI Delta
+0.36 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.52 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Avg Picks Delta
0.00
Decision reasons
- Candidate passed ROI, stability, and volume checks
Validation Windows
Candidate metrics versus current live metrics for recent, medium, and full history windows.
recent
Mar 15, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-2.05%
Hit rate
62.97%
Drawdown
28.16u
Picks/day
19.53
Candidate
ROI
-2.01%
Hit rate
63.14%
Drawdown
28.16u
Picks/day
19.53
medium
Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-2.99%
Hit rate
62.87%
Drawdown
35.29u
Picks/day
15.04
Candidate
ROI
-2.63%
Hit rate
63.39%
Drawdown
35.29u
Picks/day
15.04
full
Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-2.99%
Hit rate
62.87%
Drawdown
35.29u
Picks/day
15.04
Candidate
ROI
-2.63%
Hit rate
63.39%
Drawdown
35.29u
Picks/day
15.04
Changed Parameters
Numeric configuration deltas in the latest optimization run.
| Path | Previous | New |
|---|---|---|
| safeOdds.weights.leagueQuality | 0.05 | 0.1 |
Accepted Versions
optimizer-2026-04-13T22-57-52-043Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 14, 2026, 12:57 AM
Promoted Apr 14, 2026, 1:16 AM
optimizer-2026-04-12T22-58-11-969Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 13, 2026, 12:58 AM
Promoted Apr 13, 2026, 1:19 AM
optimizer-2026-03-24T23-52-23-795Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 25, 2026, 12:52 AM
Promoted Mar 25, 2026, 12:58 AM
optimizer-2026-03-21T23-52-22-975Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 22, 2026, 12:52 AM
Promoted Mar 22, 2026, 12:57 AM
optimizer-2026-03-20T23-52-21-714Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 21, 2026, 12:52 AM
Promoted Mar 21, 2026, 12:57 AM
optimizer-2026-03-17T23-20-21-613Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 18, 2026, 12:20 AM
Promoted Mar 18, 2026, 12:24 AM
optimizer-2026-03-14T01-45-16-985Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 14, 2026, 2:45 AM
Promoted Mar 14, 2026, 2:48 AM
optimizer-2026-03-13T01-45-15-262Z
optimizer
Generated Mar 13, 2026, 2:45 AM
Promoted Mar 13, 2026, 2:47 AM
Run History
Every stored optimizer run, including rejected candidates.
optimizer-2026-04-13T22-57-52-043Z
Run run-2026-04-13T23-16-32-805Z • Finished Apr 14, 2026, 1:16 AM
ROI
-2.63%
Hit Rate
63.39%
Drawdown
35.29u
Picks/Day
15.04
ROI Delta
+0.36 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.52 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-12T22-58-11-969Z
Run run-2026-04-12T23-19-42-551Z • Finished Apr 13, 2026, 1:19 AM
ROI
-3.35%
Hit Rate
62.57%
Drawdown
33.29u
Picks/Day
14.97
ROI Delta
+0.53 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-1.49 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-11T22-58-17-373Z
Run run-2026-04-11T23-19-56-182Z • Finished Apr 12, 2026, 1:19 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.25%
Hit Rate
62.61%
Drawdown
29.09u
Picks/Day
14.91
ROI Delta
+0.36 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-1.61 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-10T22-57-46-244Z
Run run-2026-04-10T23-14-45-877Z • Finished Apr 11, 2026, 1:14 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.93%
Hit Rate
64.66%
Drawdown
27.47u
Picks/Day
14.84
ROI Delta
+0.20 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.18 pts
Drawdown Delta
-0.36u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-09T22-57-43-470Z
Run run-2026-04-09T23-11-11-094Z • Finished Apr 10, 2026, 1:11 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.36%
Hit Rate
65.12%
Drawdown
27.47u
Picks/Day
14.57
ROI Delta
+0.21 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.19 pts
Drawdown Delta
-0.36u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-08T22-57-46-995Z
Run run-2026-04-08T23-11-27-766Z • Finished Apr 9, 2026, 1:11 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.76%
Hit Rate
64.82%
Drawdown
27.47u
Picks/Day
14.76
ROI Delta
+0.21 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.19 pts
Drawdown Delta
-0.36u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-07T22-57-53-784Z
Run run-2026-04-07T23-13-22-079Z • Finished Apr 8, 2026, 1:13 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.81%
Hit Rate
64.70%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.56
ROI Delta
+0.11 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-06T22-57-50-781Z
Run run-2026-04-06T23-12-18-163Z • Finished Apr 7, 2026, 1:12 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.64%
Hit Rate
64.79%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.49
ROI Delta
+0.11 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-05T22-57-48-603Z
Run run-2026-04-05T23-09-46-954Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 1:09 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.35%
Hit Rate
64.89%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.41
ROI Delta
+0.11 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-05T22-35-40-739Z
Run run-2026-04-05T22-46-59-875Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 12:46 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.35%
Hit Rate
64.89%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.41
ROI Delta
+0.11 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-04T22-52-36-618Z
Run run-2026-04-04T23-04-40-512Z • Finished Apr 5, 2026, 1:04 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.33%
Hit Rate
64.99%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.32
ROI Delta
+0.12 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-03T22-52-36-969Z
Run run-2026-04-03T23-03-28-086Z • Finished Apr 4, 2026, 1:03 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-1.52%
Hit Rate
65.51%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.03
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.01 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.13
optimizer-2026-04-02T22-52-37-697Z
Run run-2026-04-02T23-03-55-546Z • Finished Apr 3, 2026, 1:03 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-1.68%
Hit Rate
65.31%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.15
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.01 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.14
optimizer-2026-04-01T22-52-31-605Z
Run run-2026-04-01T23-02-08-363Z • Finished Apr 2, 2026, 1:02 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-1.70%
Hit Rate
65.32%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
14.06
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.01 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.14
optimizer-2026-03-31T22-52-35-085Z
Run run-2026-03-31T23-01-31-748Z • Finished Apr 1, 2026, 1:01 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-1.91%
Hit Rate
65.10%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.97
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.14
optimizer-2026-03-30T22-53-24-148Z
Run run-2026-03-30T23-01-20-497Z • Finished Mar 31, 2026, 1:01 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.39%
Hit Rate
64.76%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.87
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.14
optimizer-2026-03-29T22-52-26-239Z
Run run-2026-03-29T22-59-26-455Z • Finished Mar 30, 2026, 12:59 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.35%
Hit Rate
64.69%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.89
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.15
optimizer-2026-03-28T23-53-13-708Z
Run run-2026-03-28T23-59-53-028Z • Finished Mar 29, 2026, 12:59 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.52%
Hit Rate
64.57%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.79
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.15
optimizer-2026-03-27T23-52-27-868Z
Run run-2026-03-27T23-59-53-345Z • Finished Mar 28, 2026, 12:59 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-1.88%
Hit Rate
64.92%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.46
ROI Delta
+0.14 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.02 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.15
optimizer-2026-03-26T23-52-26-457Z
Run run-2026-03-26T23-59-29-490Z • Finished Mar 27, 2026, 12:59 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.19%
Hit Rate
64.29%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.35
ROI Delta
+0.13 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.03 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.15
optimizer-2026-03-25T23-52-26-075Z
Run run-2026-03-25T23-58-44-547Z • Finished Mar 26, 2026, 12:58 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.12%
Hit Rate
64.24%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.50
ROI Delta
+0.14 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.03 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
-0.16
optimizer-2026-03-24T23-52-23-795Z
Run run-2026-03-24T23-58-22-979Z • Finished Mar 25, 2026, 12:58 AM
ROI
-3.13%
Hit Rate
64.38%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.54
ROI Delta
+0.38 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.39 pts
Drawdown Delta
-0.42u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-23T23-52-26-694Z
Run run-2026-03-23T23-58-22-998Z • Finished Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-2.56%
Hit Rate
64.89%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.43
ROI Delta
+0.20 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.27 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-22T23-52-23-554Z
Run run-2026-03-22T23-57-38-101Z • Finished Mar 23, 2026, 12:57 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.02%
Hit Rate
64.75%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.31
ROI Delta
+0.04 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.14 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-21T23-52-22-975Z
Run run-2026-03-21T23-57-07-998Z • Finished Mar 22, 2026, 12:57 AM
ROI
-2.79%
Hit Rate
64.89%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
13.19
ROI Delta
+0.39 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.14 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-20T23-52-21-714Z
Run run-2026-03-20T23-57-25-408Z • Finished Mar 21, 2026, 12:57 AM
ROI
-3.25%
Hit Rate
64.74%
Drawdown
25.61u
Picks/Day
12.81
ROI Delta
+0.46 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.33 pts
Drawdown Delta
+1.90u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.22
optimizer-2026-03-19T23-20-23-478Z
Run run-2026-03-19T23-25-00-574Z • Finished Mar 20, 2026, 12:25 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.43%
Hit Rate
64.66%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
12.79
ROI Delta
+0.25 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.12 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.10
optimizer-2026-03-18T23-20-24-307Z
Run run-2026-03-18T23-25-35-584Z • Finished Mar 19, 2026, 12:25 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.55%
Hit Rate
64.65%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
12.65
ROI Delta
+0.26 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.12 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.10
optimizer-2026-03-17T23-20-21-613Z
Run run-2026-03-17T23-24-48-287Z • Finished Mar 18, 2026, 12:24 AM
ROI
-3.69%
Hit Rate
64.84%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
12.40
ROI Delta
+0.29 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.17 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.06
optimizer-2026-03-17T01-45-25-401Z
Run run-2026-03-17T01-51-03-735Z • Finished Mar 17, 2026, 2:51 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.88%
Hit Rate
65.16%
Drawdown
26.04u
Picks/Day
11.94
ROI Delta
+0.18 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.34 pts
Drawdown Delta
+2.33u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-14T01-45-16-985Z
Run run-2026-03-16T01-49-15-101Z • Finished Mar 16, 2026, 2:49 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.66%
Hit Rate
65.16%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
12.02
ROI Delta
0.00 pts
Hit Rate Delta
0.00 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-14T01-45-16-985Z
Run run-2026-03-15T01-48-48-086Z • Finished Mar 15, 2026, 2:48 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-3.01%
Hit Rate
65.53%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
11.60
ROI Delta
0.00 pts
Hit Rate Delta
0.00 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-14T01-45-16-985Z
Run run-2026-03-14T01-48-37-073Z • Finished Mar 14, 2026, 2:48 AM
ROI
-2.88%
Hit Rate
65.55%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
11.43
ROI Delta
+0.57 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.56 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-03-13T01-45-15-262Z
Run run-2026-03-13T01-47-59-574Z • Finished Mar 13, 2026, 2:47 AM
ROI
-3.89%
Hit Rate
64.80%
Drawdown
23.71u
Picks/Day
11.49
ROI Delta
+1.77 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+1.16 pts
Drawdown Delta
-2.33u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00