Strategy Lab / Decision Engine
Daily betting decision engine, rendered from stored local artifacts.
This page shows the current sleeve activation state, recommended picks, blocked leagues, and recent replay behavior for the balanced-growth high-odds decision engine. It is a local research view and does not change the production pages.
Session
Artifact: 2026-04-09Source: snapshotReplay days: 31
This view is powered by the latest stored local strategy artifacts and frozen daily ledgers.
Current Focus
Day
2026-04-09
View
modes
Date
2026-04-09
Latest generated decision date
Active sleeves
3
Sleeves allowed to fire today
Recommended picks
2
Hybrid picks for the selected day
Mode
Hybrid
Confirmed HIGH_ODDS DC filter
Today's Preferred Mode
HYBRID
Hybrid keeps 2 picks today and has a stronger frozen-history ROI of -11.36% on 16 settled bets. This is the most realistic middle ground when you want quality without going ultra-thin.
Official
2
picks today
33 settled bets in history
-3.3% ROI
Hybrid
2
picks today
16 settled bets in history
-11.36% ROI
V2
0
picks today
7 settled bets in history
38% ROI
Mode Deep MetricsMode quality breakdown
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Mode Deep Metrics
Mode quality breakdown
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Open for hit rate, average odds, and drawdown by mode.
| Mode | Hit Rate | Avg Odds | Max Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Official | 51.52% | 2.01 | 3.82% |
| Hybrid | 43.75% | 2.25 | 3.6% |
| V2 | 57.14% | 2.47 | 1.46% |
Decision date: 2026-04-09
Selected mode view: Hybrid
Suggested Mode Card
Hybrid picks for 2026-04-09
Hybrid is the saved recommended mode for this day, so its picks are surfaced here directly instead of making you dig through the `Modes` view.
Hybrid2 picks
Al Ula vs Abha
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93
1u • primary
Qualified by high_dc_mixed (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >=1.91).
H&H Export vs Real Madriz
Primera Division, Nicaragua
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91
1u • primary
Qualified by high_dc_mixed (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >=1.91).
Mode Explorer
Selectable engine modes for today's tip set
This keeps the official frozen record intact, but lets us inspect how a tighter `hybrid` or `V2 strict` mode would look on the same day and against the same historical frozen ledger.
Artifact FilesFrozen decision and mode report files
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Artifact Files
Frozen decision and mode report files
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Selected Day Decision Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-04-09.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-04-09.mdHybrid Mode Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-04-09.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-04-09.mdMode FunnelHow the selected day narrows from official to hybrid to V2
2 -> 2 -> 0
Mode Funnel
How the selected day narrows from official to hybrid to V2
2 -> 2 -> 0
Official
2
Published frozen picks
Hybrid
2
0 removed from official
V2 Strict
0
2 removed from hybrid
Dropped: Official -> Hybrid
No picks were removed going from official to hybrid.
Dropped: Hybrid -> V2
Al Ula vs Abha
high_dc_mixed • DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93
V2 strict removes this because its odds are 1.93, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
H&H Export vs Real Madriz
high_dc_mixed • DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91
V2 strict removes this because its odds are 1.91, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
Historical FunnelHow the full frozen history narrows from official to hybrid to V2
46 -> 28 -> 15
Historical Funnel
How the full frozen history narrows from official to hybrid to V2
46 -> 28 -> 15
Official History
46
1.12% settled ROI
Hybrid History
28
-0.56% settled ROI
V2 History
15
38% settled ROI
Top League Removals: Official -> Hybrid
II Liga - East|Poland
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.83.
Primera Nacional|Argentina
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.75.
La Liga|Spain
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.35.
Regionalliga - Ost|Austria
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.25.
V.League 1|Vietnam
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.85.
Top League Removals: Hybrid -> V2
Friendlies|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.1.
I-League|India
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Serie C - Girone C|Italy
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Liga Nacional|Guatemala
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Liga II|Romania
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.1.
Reason Buckets: Official -> Hybrid
Odds Below 1.91
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Rank Above 7
2 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.3. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Odds Bands: Official -> Hybrid
1.61-1.90
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
>2.20
2 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.3. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
Sleeves: Official -> Hybrid
high_dc_balanced
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
high_dc_ladder
2 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.3. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
Reason Buckets: Hybrid -> V2
Odds At Or Below 2.20
13 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the V2 premium filter.
Odds Bands: Hybrid -> V2
1.91-2.20
13 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This shows which price zones are being cut when the premium-only V2 core takes over.
Sleeves: Hybrid -> V2
high_dc_mixed
8 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.04. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
high_dc_core
5 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.08. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
Current Mode Picks
Hybrid picks for the selected day
This is the operational card for the currently selected mode. Everything below here is what that mode would actually publish for the selected day.
Al Ula vs Abha
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93
1u • primary
Qualified by high_dc_mixed (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >=1.91).
H&H Export vs Real Madriz
Primera Division, Nicaragua
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91
1u • primary
Qualified by high_dc_mixed (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >=1.91).
Mode Ledger
Hybrid cumulative performance from frozen daily decisions
This curve is derived from the same frozen daily decisions as the official ledger, but filtered through the selected mode. It gives each mode its own honest cumulative path without rewriting the published record.
Starting bankroll
$10,000 • +100u
Final bankroll
$9,858 • +98.58u
Total profit
-0.09u • -$142
Max drawdown
3.6%
Total bets
19
Win rate
36.8%
ROI
-11.36%
Mode HistoryHybrid settled bet history
16 settled • $9,858
Mode History
Hybrid settled bet history
16 settled • $9,858
This is the frozen historical ledger for the selected mode only. Open it when you want the full bet-by-bet audit trail.
| Date | Match | Sleeve | Pick | Stake | Result | Profit | Bankroll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | H&H Export vs Real Madriz Primera Division, Nicaragua | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,858 |
| 2026-04-09 | Al Ula vs Abha Division 1, Saudi-Arabia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,858 |
| 2026-04-07 | Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners A-League, Australia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.8 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,858 |
| 2026-04-06 | Casarano vs Potenza Serie C - Girone C, Italy | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,908 |
| 2026-04-06 | Brentford U21 vs Cardiff City U21 Professional Development League, England | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.5 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,008 |
| 2026-04-06 | SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,058 |
| 2026-04-05 | Muangthong United vs Chiangrai United Thai League 1, Thailand | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,108 |
| 2026-04-05 | Haninge vs Forward Division 2 - Södra Svealand, Sweden | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.63 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.63u +$82 | $10,208 |
| 2026-04-04 | CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau Liga II, Romania | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,127 |
| 2026-04-03 | Birmingham City U21 vs Everton U21 Premier League 2 Division One, England | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.05u +$105 | $10,227 |
| 2026-04-02 | ROHDA Raalte vs Dovo Derde Divisie - Saturday, Netherlands | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.25u +$63 | $10,122 |
| 2026-04-01 | Santa Fe vs Llaneros Primera A, Colombia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,059 |
| 2026-03-31 | England vs Japan Friendlies, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.4 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.4u +$70 | $10,059 |
| 2026-03-31 | China PR U20 vs Australia U20 Friendlies, World | high_dc_core | HOME_DRAW @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,989 |
| 2026-03-30 | Cyprus vs Moldova Friendlies, World | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.15 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,089 |
| 2026-03-29 | Benevento vs Cosenza Serie C - Girone C, Italy | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.38 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.38u +$69 | $10,189 |
| 2026-03-28 | Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Liga 2, Indonesia | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,120 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oberwart vs Donau Regionalliga - Ost, Austria | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1u +$100 | $10,220 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gokulam vs Shillong Lajong I-League, India | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.2u +$120 | $10,120 |
Ruleset Cross-CheckOfficial engine versus selected-day V2 strict slice
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Ruleset Cross-Check
Official engine versus selected-day V2 strict slice
The official engine below is still the frozen tipster record. This comparison now uses the selected day's own frozen picks filtered through the stricter `V2` rules, so older dates no longer inherit the latest premium candidate.
Official picks
2
Current frozen engine recommendations
V2 picks
0
Selected-day picks that survive the V2 strict filter
Official ROI
-3.45%
Settled ROI from the official frozen tipster ledger
V2 ROI
12.34%
Historical ROI of the stricter V2 candidate ruleset
Overlap
0
Official picks that also pass the V2 core
Official-only
2
Official picks outside the stricter V2 core
V2-only
0
V2 picks missing from the official engine
Official Engine Picks
2026-04-09
Al Ula vs Abha
high_dc_mixed • Division 1|Saudi-Arabia
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.931uRank 1
H&H Export vs Real Madriz
high_dc_mixed • Primera Division|Nicaragua
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.911uRank 5
Selected-Day V2 Strict
2026-04-09
V2 Strict
The selected day has no picks that survive the V2 strict filter.
Upgrade Lens
What if we kept only the V2-style official bets?
This uses the frozen official ledger and applies the current V2 core filter retrospectively to those published bets. It gives us a first read on whether a stricter upgrade would improve quality enough to justify the lost volume.
Official sample
33
Settled bets in the official frozen ledger
Official ROI
1.12%
Current official settled ROI
V2-filtered sample
7
21.21% of official settled volume retained
V2-filtered ROI
38%
Settled ROI from the stricter premium-only slice
Filtered away
78.79%
Share of official settled volume sitting outside the V2 core
Official Frozen Ledger
33 bets1.12% ROI+0.37u51.52% hit rate2.01 avg odds
Hybrid Confirmed Ledger
16 bets-0.56% ROI-0.09u43.75% hit rate2.25 avg odds
V2-Filtered Official Ledger
7 bets38% ROI+2.66u57.14% hit rate2.47 avg odds
Hybrid sample
16
48.48% of official settled volume retained
Hybrid ROI
-0.56%
Settled ROI from confirmed high-odds DC official bets
Today hybrid picks
2
Current official picks that pass the hybrid confirmation filter
Outside V2 ROI
-8.81%
Settled ROI from official bets outside the strict premium core
Mode framing
Official: the current published frozen engine.
Hybrid: official picks trimmed to
HIGH_ODDS + DC + odds >=1.91 + rank <=7 + not blocked league.V2 strict: the premium-only core above `2.20` odds.
Shared Picks
No official picks currently overlap with the stricter V2 core.
Official But Not V2
Al Ula vs Abha
high_dc_mixed • Division 1|Saudi-Arabia
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.931u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 1.93, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
H&H Export vs Real Madriz
high_dc_mixed • Primera Division|Nicaragua
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.911u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 1.91, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
V2 But Not Official
The official engine is not missing any of today’s V2 core candidates.