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Strategy Lab / Decision Engine

Daily betting decision engine, rendered from stored local artifacts.

This page shows the current sleeve activation state, recommended picks, blocked leagues, and recent replay behavior for the balanced-growth high-odds decision engine. It is a local research view and does not change the production pages.

Session
Artifact: 2026-04-17Source: snapshotReplay days: 35

This view is powered by the latest stored local strategy artifacts and frozen daily ledgers.

Current Focus
Day
2026-04-17
View
today
Date
2026-04-17
Latest generated decision date
Active sleeves
2
Sleeves allowed to fire today
Recommended picks
3
Official picks for the selected day
Mode
Official
Published frozen engine
Today's Preferred Mode

HYBRID

Hybrid keeps 3 picks today and has a stronger frozen-history ROI of -3.03% on 27 settled bets. This is the most realistic middle ground when you want quality without going ultra-thin.

Official
3
picks today
46 settled bets in history
4% ROI
Hybrid
3
picks today
27 settled bets in history
-3.03% ROI
V2
3
picks today
15 settled bets in history
43.07% ROI
Mode Deep Metrics

Mode quality breakdown

Expand

Open for hit rate, average odds, and drawdown by mode.

ModeHit RateAvg OddsMax Drawdown
Official52.17%2.145.09%
Hybrid44.44%2.355.63%
V253.33%2.582.43%
Decision date: 2026-04-17
Selected mode view: Official
Suggested Mode Card

Hybrid picks for 2026-04-17

Hybrid is the saved recommended mode for this day, so its picks are surfaced here directly instead of making you dig through the `Modes` view.

Hybrid3 picks
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Dunav Ruse vs Marek
Second League, Bulgaria
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Al Riffa vs A'Ali
Premier League, Bahrain
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 3
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Selected Day

Official frozen picks for 2026-04-17

Generated: 17 Apr 2026, 02:23
Frozen daily tips1.5u daily exposure
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Dunav Ruse vs Marek
Second League, Bulgaria
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Al Riffa vs A'Ali
Premier League, Bahrain
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY @ 3
0.5u • aggressive
Qualified by high_dc_premium (HIGH_ODDS + DC + ranks 1-7 + odds >2.20).
Replay

Recent sleeve timeline

8 days

This replay shows which sleeves would have been active on each stored snapshot day using the same gating rules.

2026-04-10
3 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_mixedhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-11
3 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_mixedhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-12
3 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_mixedhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-13
2 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-14
1 active
high_dc_premium
2026-04-15
2 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-16
2 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_ladder
2026-04-17
2 active
high_dc_premiumhigh_dc_ladder
Active sleeves

Why the engine is on these setups

High DC Premium
high_dc_premium
0.5u
Broad ROI
29.49%
Recent ROI
75.32%
Broad sample
39 bets
Positive weeks
3/4
Worst recent week
-4u
Challenger alignment
41.35
High DC Ladder
high_dc_ladder
0.5u
Broad ROI
17.76%
Recent ROI
68.71%
Broad sample
49 bets
Positive weeks
3/4
Worst recent week
-2.75u
Challenger alignment
36.47
Inactive sleeves

What the engine has turned off

4 off
High DC Core
high_dc_core
Off
Recent ROI below floor (-11.36% < -2%)
Recent positive-week rate too low (25% < 45%)
Challenger alignment below floor (-0.01 < 0)
High DC Mixed
high_dc_mixed
Off
Recent worst week breached risk floor (-6.07u < -4.5u)
High DC Balanced
high_dc_balanced
Off
Broad ROI below floor (-1.05% < 1%)
Recent ROI below floor (-6.57% < 0%)
Recent worst week breached risk floor (-6.05u < -4.5u)
Recent losing regime too severe (-4.27u < -3u)
Challenger alignment below floor (-1.97 < 0)
Safe DC Top3
safe_dc_top3
Off
Challenger alignment below floor (-1.16 < 0)
Benchmark sleeve is tracked only and disabled for recommendations
League policy

Preferred and blocked leagues

2 sleeve policies
High DC Premium
Preferred
None right now
Blocked
None right now
High DC Ladder
Preferred
None right now
Blocked
None right now
Rejected picks

Why the engine said no

17 rejected
Chennaiyin vs SC Delhi
Indian Super League, India
Matched sleeves are inactive. high_dc_balanced: Broad ROI below floor (-1.05% < 1%) | high_dc_balanced: Recent ROI below floor (-6.57% < 0%) | high_dc_balanced: Recent worst week breached risk floor (-6.05u < -4.5u) | high_dc_balanced: Recent losing regime too severe (-4.27u < -3u) | high_dc_balanced: Challenger alignment below floor (-1.97 < 0)
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza
NB I, Hungary
Matched sleeves are inactive. safe_dc_top3: Challenger alignment below floor (-1.16 < 0) | safe_dc_top3: Benchmark sleeve is tracked only and disabled for recommendations
Namdhari vs Chanmari
I-League, India
Matched sleeves are inactive. safe_dc_top3: Challenger alignment below floor (-1.16 < 0) | safe_dc_top3: Benchmark sleeve is tracked only and disabled for recommendations
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Ra'anana
Liga Leumit, Israel
Matched sleeves are inactive. safe_dc_top3: Challenger alignment below floor (-1.16 < 0) | safe_dc_top3: Benchmark sleeve is tracked only and disabled for recommendations
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets
A-League, Australia
Matched sleeves are inactive. high_dc_core: Recent ROI below floor (-11.36% < -2%) | high_dc_core: Recent positive-week rate too low (25% < 45%) | high_dc_core: Challenger alignment below floor (-0.01 < 0) | high_dc_mixed: Recent worst week breached risk floor (-6.07u < -4.5u)
Araz vs Turan
Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
Sassuolo vs Como
Serie A, Italy
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
Lokomotiv vs Navbahor
Super League, Uzbekistan
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
Tikveš vs Shkendija
First League, Macedonia
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNL, Croatia
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
ASO Chlef vs Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1, Algeria
No configured sleeve matched this pick.
Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan
Iraqi League, Iraq
No configured sleeve matched this pick.