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Strategy Lab

Daily Strategy Picks

Review today’s strategy picks, active betting angles, league filters, and recent performance signals.

Date
2026-05-01
History
63
View
modes
Date
2026-05-01
Latest generated decision date
Active sleeves
3
Sleeves allowed to fire today
Recommended picks
0
V2 Strict picks for the selected day
Mode
V2 Strict
Premium-only deployable core
Today's Preferred Mode

HYBRID

Hybrid has no surviving picks today, so it cannot act as the practical bridge mode on this slate.

Mode Deep Metrics

Mode quality breakdown

Hit rate, average odds, and drawdown by mode.

ModeHit RateAvg OddsMax Drawdown
Official44.44%2.188.64%
Hybrid38.33%2.2710.13%
V236%2.585.79%
Decision date: 2026-05-16
Selected mode view: V2 Strict
Mode Explorer

V2 Strict mode details

Use the Strategy Modes cards above to switch between Official, Hybrid, and V2 Strict. This section updates to the selected mode without changing the underlying frozen record.

Selected mode
V2 Strict
Premium-only deployable core
Artifact Files

Frozen decision and mode report files

Selected Day Decision Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-01.json
Markdown
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-01.md
V2 Strict Mode Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-01.json
Markdown
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-01.md
Mode Funnel

How the selected day narrows from official to hybrid to V2

0 -> 0 -> 0
Official
0
Published frozen picks
Hybrid
0
0 removed from official
V2 Strict
0
0 removed from hybrid
Dropped: Official -> Hybrid
No picks were removed going from official to hybrid.
Dropped: Hybrid -> V2
No picks were removed going from hybrid to V2 strict.
Historical Funnel

How the full frozen history narrows from official to hybrid to V2

91 -> 68 -> 29
Official History
91
-3.49% settled ROI
Hybrid History
68
-10.7% settled ROI
V2 History
29
-2.64% settled ROI
Top League Removals: Official -> Hybrid
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3|Spain
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.06.
II Liga - East|Poland
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.83.
Primera Nacional|Argentina
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.75.
Liga Nacional|Guatemala
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 3.55.
Ligue 1|Algeria
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.85.
Top League Removals: Hybrid -> V2
CONMEBOL Libertadores|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.17.
Friendlies|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.1.
MLS Next Pro|USA
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.08.
I-League|India
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Serie C - Girone C|Italy
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Reason Buckets: Official -> Hybrid
Odds Below 1.91
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Rank Above 7
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Odds Bands: Official -> Hybrid
1.61-1.90
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
>2.20
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
Sleeves: Official -> Hybrid
high_dc_balanced
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
high_dc_ladder
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
Reason Buckets: Hybrid -> V2
Odds At Or Below 2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the V2 premium filter.
Odds Bands: Hybrid -> V2
1.91-2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This shows which price zones are being cut when the premium-only V2 core takes over.
Sleeves: Hybrid -> V2
high_dc_core
25 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.04. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
high_dc_mixed
14 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.06. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
Current Mode Picks

V2 Strict picks for the selected day

This is the operational card for the currently selected mode. Everything below here is what that mode would actually publish for the selected day.

No current candidates pass the V2 strict premium core for this day.
Mode Ledger

V2 Strict cumulative performance from frozen daily decisions

This curve is derived from the same frozen daily decisions as the official ledger, but filtered through the selected mode. It gives each mode its own honest cumulative path without rewriting the published record.

Starting bankroll
$10,000
Final bankroll
$9,767
Total profit
-$233
Max drawdown
5.79%
Total bets
29
Win rate
31.0%
ROI
-16.07%
Mode History

V2 Strict settled bet history

25 settled • $9,767

This is the frozen historical ledger for the selected mode only. Open it when you want the full bet-by-bet audit trail.

DateMatchSleevePickStakeResultProfitBankroll
2026-05-14
Red Arrows vs Green Eagles
Super League, Zambia
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.25
1u
$100
LOSS
-1u
-$100
$9,767
2026-05-10
Magic United vs WDSC Wolves
Queensland NPL, Australia
high_dc_mixed
HOME_DRAW
@ 2.25
1u
$100
LOSS
-1u
-$100
$9,867
2026-05-05
Al Ahly vs Enppi
Premier League, Egypt
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.65
1u
$100
LOSS
-1u
-$100
$9,967
2026-05-05
Al Riffa vs Al Shabab
Premier League, Bahrain
high_dc_mixed
DRAW_AWAY
@ 3
1u
$100
LOSS
-1u
-$100
$10,067
2026-05-02
Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC
Thai League 1, Thailand
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.65
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,167
2026-04-22
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka
First League, Russia
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.49
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,217
2026-04-22
Bahia vs Remo
Copa Do Brasil, Brazil
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.88
0.5u
$50
PENDING
0u
+$0
$10,267
2026-04-21
Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya
Liga Nacional, Guatemala
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.45
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,267
2026-04-17
Al Riffa vs A'Ali
Premier League, Bahrain
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 3
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,317
2026-04-17
Dunav Ruse vs Marek
Second League, Bulgaria
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.88
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.88u
+$94
$10,367
2026-04-17
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.25
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,273
2026-04-16
Spartak Pleven vs Fratria
Second League, Bulgaria
high_dc_premium
HOME_DRAW
@ 2.3
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.3u
+$65
$10,323
2026-04-15
Ituano vs Votuporanguense
Paulista - A2, Brazil
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.3
0.5u
$50
PENDING
0u
+$0
$10,258
2026-04-15
Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira
CONMEBOL Libertadores, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 4.2
0.5u
$50
WIN
+3.2u
+$160
$10,258
2026-04-14
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Herzliya
Liga Leumit, Israel
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.3
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.3u
+$65
$10,098
2026-04-14
Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.4
0.5u
$50
PENDING
0u
+$0
$10,033
2026-04-13
Al Jabalain vs Al Jubail
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.65
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,033
2026-04-12
Ibiza vs Juventud Torremolinos
Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.25
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,083
2026-04-12
Pardubice II vs Kolín
3. liga - CFL B, Czech-Republic
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.35
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,133
2026-04-10
MO Constantine vs Nrb Beni Oulbene
Ligue 2, Algeria
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 3
0.5u
$50
WIN
+2u
+$100
$10,183
2026-04-10
Goa vs Odisha
Indian Super League, India
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.38
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,083
2026-04-07
Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners
A-League, Australia
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.8
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,133
2026-04-06
Brentford U21 vs Cardiff City U21
Professional Development League, England
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.5
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,183
2026-04-06
SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers
Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.3
0.5u
$50
LOSS
-1u
-$50
$10,233
2026-04-05
Haninge vs Forward
Division 2 - Södra Svealand, Sweden
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.63
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.63u
+$82
$10,283
2026-04-02
ROHDA Raalte vs Dovo
Derde Divisie - Saturday, Netherlands
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.25
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.25u
+$63
$10,202
2026-04-01
Santa Fe vs Llaneros
Primera A, Colombia
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.25
0.5u
$50
PENDING
0u
+$0
$10,139
2026-03-31
England vs Japan
Friendlies, World
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.4
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.4u
+$70
$10,139
2026-03-29
Benevento vs Cosenza
Serie C - Girone C, Italy
high_dc_premium
DRAW_AWAY
@ 2.38
0.5u
$50
WIN
+1.38u
+$69
$10,069
Ruleset Cross-Check

Official engine versus selected-day V2 strict slice

The official engine below is still the frozen tipster record. This comparison now uses the selected day's own frozen picks filtered through the stricter `V2` rules, so older dates no longer inherit the latest premium candidate.

Official picks
0
Current frozen engine recommendations
V2 picks
0
Selected-day picks that survive the V2 strict filter
Official ROI
-3.49%
Settled ROI from the official frozen tipster ledger
V2 ROI
6.8%
Historical ROI of the stricter V2 candidate ruleset
Overlap
0
Official picks that also pass the V2 core
Official-only
0
Official picks outside the stricter V2 core
V2-only
0
V2 picks missing from the official engine
Official Engine Picks
2026-05-01
The official engine has no qualified picks for this day.
Selected-Day V2 Strict
2026-05-01
V2 Strict
The selected day has no picks that survive the V2 strict filter.
Upgrade Lens

What if we kept only the V2-style official bets?

This uses the frozen official ledger and applies the current V2 core filter retrospectively to those published bets. It gives us a first read on whether a stricter upgrade would improve quality enough to justify the lost volume.

Official sample
81
Settled bets in the official frozen ledger
Official ROI
-3.49%
Current official settled ROI
V2-filtered sample
25
30.86% of official settled volume retained
V2-filtered ROI
-2.64%
Settled ROI from the stricter premium-only slice
Filtered away
69.14%
Share of official settled volume sitting outside the V2 core
Official Frozen Ledger
81 bets-3.49% ROI-2.83u44.44% hit rate2.18 avg odds
Hybrid Confirmed Ledger
60 bets-10.7% ROI-6.42u38.33% hit rate2.27 avg odds
V2-Filtered Official Ledger
25 bets-2.64% ROI-0.66u36% hit rate2.58 avg odds
Hybrid sample
60
74.07% of official settled volume retained
Hybrid ROI
-10.7%
Settled ROI from confirmed high-odds DC official bets
Today hybrid picks
0
Current official picks that pass the hybrid confirmation filter
Outside V2 ROI
-3.88%
Settled ROI from official bets outside the strict premium core
Mode framing
Official: the current published frozen engine.
Hybrid: official picks trimmed to HIGH_ODDS + DC + odds >=1.91 + rank <=7 + not blocked league.
V2 strict: the premium-only core above `2.20` odds.
Shared Picks
No official picks currently overlap with the stricter V2 core.
Official But Not V2
Every official pick also passes the stricter V2 core.
V2 But Not Official
The official engine is not missing any of today’s V2 core candidates.