Strategy Lab
Daily Strategy Picks
Review today’s strategy picks, active betting angles, league filters, and recent performance signals.
Date
2026-05-09
History
63
View
modes
Session
Artifact: 2026-05-09Source: snapshotReplay days: 63
This view is powered by the latest stored local strategy artifacts and frozen daily ledgers.
Page Sections
Date
2026-05-09
Latest generated decision date
Active sleeves
1
Sleeves allowed to fire today
Recommended picks
0
V2 Strict picks for the selected day
Mode
V2 Strict
Premium-only deployable core
Today's Preferred Mode
HYBRID
Hybrid has no surviving picks today, so it cannot act as the practical bridge mode on this slate.
Mode Deep Metrics
Mode quality breakdown
Hit rate, average odds, and drawdown by mode.
| Mode | Hit Rate | Avg Odds | Max Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Official | 44.44% | 2.18 | 8.64% |
| Hybrid | 38.33% | 2.27 | 10.13% |
| V2 | 36% | 2.58 | 5.79% |
Decision date: 2026-05-16
Selected mode view: V2 Strict
Mode Explorer
V2 Strict mode details
Use the Strategy Modes cards above to switch between Official, Hybrid, and V2 Strict. This section updates to the selected mode without changing the underlying frozen record.
Selected mode
V2 Strict
Premium-only deployable core
Artifact Files
Frozen decision and mode report files
Selected Day Decision Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-09.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-09.mdV2 Strict Mode Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-09.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-09.mdMode Funnel
How the selected day narrows from official to hybrid to V2
2 -> 0 -> 0
Official
2
Published frozen picks
Hybrid
0
2 removed from official
V2 Strict
0
0 removed from hybrid
Dropped: Official -> Hybrid
Luftëtari vs Sopoti Librazhd
high_dc_mixed • DRAW_AWAY @ 2
This pick falls outside the hybrid confirmation slice for a broader structural reason.
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
high_dc_mixed • DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1
This pick falls outside the hybrid confirmation slice for a broader structural reason.
Dropped: Hybrid -> V2
No picks were removed going from hybrid to V2 strict.
Historical Funnel
How the full frozen history narrows from official to hybrid to V2
91 -> 68 -> 29
Official History
91
-3.49% settled ROI
Hybrid History
68
-10.7% settled ROI
V2 History
29
-2.64% settled ROI
Top League Removals: Official -> Hybrid
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3|Spain
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.06.
II Liga - East|Poland
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.83.
Primera Nacional|Argentina
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.75.
Liga Nacional|Guatemala
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 3.55.
Ligue 1|Algeria
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.85.
Top League Removals: Hybrid -> V2
CONMEBOL Libertadores|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.17.
Friendlies|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.1.
MLS Next Pro|USA
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.08.
I-League|India
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Serie C - Girone C|Italy
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Reason Buckets: Official -> Hybrid
Odds Below 1.91
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Rank Above 7
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Odds Bands: Official -> Hybrid
1.61-1.90
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
>2.20
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
Sleeves: Official -> Hybrid
high_dc_balanced
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
high_dc_ladder
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
Reason Buckets: Hybrid -> V2
Odds At Or Below 2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the V2 premium filter.
Odds Bands: Hybrid -> V2
1.91-2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This shows which price zones are being cut when the premium-only V2 core takes over.
Sleeves: Hybrid -> V2
high_dc_core
25 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.04. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
high_dc_mixed
14 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.06. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
Current Mode Picks
V2 Strict picks for the selected day
This is the operational card for the currently selected mode. Everything below here is what that mode would actually publish for the selected day.
No current candidates pass the V2 strict premium core for this day.
Mode Ledger
V2 Strict cumulative performance from frozen daily decisions
This curve is derived from the same frozen daily decisions as the official ledger, but filtered through the selected mode. It gives each mode its own honest cumulative path without rewriting the published record.
Starting bankroll
$10,000
Final bankroll
$9,767
Total profit
-$233
Max drawdown
5.79%
Total bets
29
Win rate
31.0%
ROI
-16.07%
Mode History
V2 Strict settled bet history
25 settled • $9,767
This is the frozen historical ledger for the selected mode only. Open it when you want the full bet-by-bet audit trail.
| Date | Match | Sleeve | Pick | Stake | Result | Profit | Bankroll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Red Arrows vs Green Eagles Super League, Zambia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,767 |
| 2026-05-10 | Magic United vs WDSC Wolves Queensland NPL, Australia | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2.25 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,867 |
| 2026-05-05 | Al Ahly vs Enppi Premier League, Egypt | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,967 |
| 2026-05-05 | Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Premier League, Bahrain | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,067 |
| 2026-05-02 | Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC Thai League 1, Thailand | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,167 |
| 2026-04-22 | Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka First League, Russia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.49 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,217 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bahia vs Remo Copa Do Brasil, Brazil | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,267 |
| 2026-04-21 | Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya Liga Nacional, Guatemala | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.45 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,267 |
| 2026-04-17 | Al Riffa vs A'Ali Premier League, Bahrain | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,317 |
| 2026-04-17 | Dunav Ruse vs Marek Second League, Bulgaria | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.88u +$94 | $10,367 |
| 2026-04-17 | San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,273 |
| 2026-04-16 | Spartak Pleven vs Fratria Second League, Bulgaria | high_dc_premium | HOME_DRAW @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.3u +$65 | $10,323 |
| 2026-04-15 | Ituano vs Votuporanguense Paulista - A2, Brazil | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,258 |
| 2026-04-15 | Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira CONMEBOL Libertadores, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 4.2 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +3.2u +$160 | $10,258 |
| 2026-04-14 | Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Herzliya Liga Leumit, Israel | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.3u +$65 | $10,098 |
| 2026-04-14 | Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.4 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,033 |
| 2026-04-13 | Al Jabalain vs Al Jubail Division 1, Saudi-Arabia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,033 |
| 2026-04-12 | Ibiza vs Juventud Torremolinos Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,083 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pardubice II vs Kolín 3. liga - CFL B, Czech-Republic | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.35 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,133 |
| 2026-04-10 | MO Constantine vs Nrb Beni Oulbene Ligue 2, Algeria | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +2u +$100 | $10,183 |
| 2026-04-10 | Goa vs Odisha Indian Super League, India | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.38 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,083 |
| 2026-04-07 | Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners A-League, Australia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.8 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,133 |
| 2026-04-06 | Brentford U21 vs Cardiff City U21 Professional Development League, England | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.5 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,183 |
| 2026-04-06 | SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,233 |
| 2026-04-05 | Haninge vs Forward Division 2 - Södra Svealand, Sweden | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.63 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.63u +$82 | $10,283 |
| 2026-04-02 | ROHDA Raalte vs Dovo Derde Divisie - Saturday, Netherlands | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.25u +$63 | $10,202 |
| 2026-04-01 | Santa Fe vs Llaneros Primera A, Colombia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,139 |
| 2026-03-31 | England vs Japan Friendlies, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.4 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.4u +$70 | $10,139 |
| 2026-03-29 | Benevento vs Cosenza Serie C - Girone C, Italy | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.38 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.38u +$69 | $10,069 |
Ruleset Cross-Check
Official engine versus selected-day V2 strict slice
The official engine below is still the frozen tipster record. This comparison now uses the selected day's own frozen picks filtered through the stricter `V2` rules, so older dates no longer inherit the latest premium candidate.
Official picks
2
Current frozen engine recommendations
V2 picks
0
Selected-day picks that survive the V2 strict filter
Official ROI
-3.49%
Settled ROI from the official frozen tipster ledger
V2 ROI
6.8%
Historical ROI of the stricter V2 candidate ruleset
Overlap
0
Official picks that also pass the V2 core
Official-only
2
Official picks outside the stricter V2 core
V2-only
0
V2 picks missing from the official engine
Official Engine Picks
2026-05-09
Luftëtari vs Sopoti Librazhd
high_dc_mixed • 1st Division|Albania
DRAW_AWAY@ 21uRank 1
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
high_dc_mixed • USL Championship|USA
DRAW_AWAY@ 2.11uRank 5
Selected-Day V2 Strict
2026-05-09
V2 Strict
The selected day has no picks that survive the V2 strict filter.
Upgrade Lens
What if we kept only the V2-style official bets?
This uses the frozen official ledger and applies the current V2 core filter retrospectively to those published bets. It gives us a first read on whether a stricter upgrade would improve quality enough to justify the lost volume.
Official sample
81
Settled bets in the official frozen ledger
Official ROI
-3.49%
Current official settled ROI
V2-filtered sample
25
30.86% of official settled volume retained
V2-filtered ROI
-2.64%
Settled ROI from the stricter premium-only slice
Filtered away
69.14%
Share of official settled volume sitting outside the V2 core
Official Frozen Ledger
81 bets-3.49% ROI-2.83u44.44% hit rate2.18 avg odds
Hybrid Confirmed Ledger
60 bets-10.7% ROI-6.42u38.33% hit rate2.27 avg odds
V2-Filtered Official Ledger
25 bets-2.64% ROI-0.66u36% hit rate2.58 avg odds
Hybrid sample
60
74.07% of official settled volume retained
Hybrid ROI
-10.7%
Settled ROI from confirmed high-odds DC official bets
Today hybrid picks
0
Current official picks that pass the hybrid confirmation filter
Outside V2 ROI
-3.88%
Settled ROI from official bets outside the strict premium core
Mode framing
Official: the current published frozen engine.
Hybrid: official picks trimmed to
HIGH_ODDS + DC + odds >=1.91 + rank <=7 + not blocked league.V2 strict: the premium-only core above `2.20` odds.
Shared Picks
No official picks currently overlap with the stricter V2 core.
Official But Not V2
Luftëtari vs Sopoti Librazhd
high_dc_mixed • 1st Division|Albania
DRAW_AWAY@ 21u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 2, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
high_dc_mixed • USL Championship|USA
DRAW_AWAY@ 2.11u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 2.1, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
V2 But Not Official
The official engine is not missing any of today’s V2 core candidates.