Strategy Lab
Daily Strategy Picks
Review today’s strategy picks, active betting angles, league filters, and recent performance signals.
Date
2026-05-13
History
63
View
modes
Session
Artifact: 2026-05-13Source: snapshotReplay days: 63
This view is powered by the latest stored local strategy artifacts and frozen daily ledgers.
Page Sections
Date
2026-05-13
Latest generated decision date
Active sleeves
2
Sleeves allowed to fire today
Recommended picks
0
Hybrid picks for the selected day
Mode
Hybrid
Confirmed HIGH_ODDS DC filter
Today's Preferred Mode
HYBRID
Hybrid has no surviving picks today, so it cannot act as the practical bridge mode on this slate.
Mode Deep Metrics
Mode quality breakdown
Hit rate, average odds, and drawdown by mode.
| Mode | Hit Rate | Avg Odds | Max Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Official | 44.44% | 2.18 | 8.64% |
| Hybrid | 38.33% | 2.27 | 10.13% |
| V2 | 36% | 2.58 | 5.79% |
Decision date: 2026-05-16
Selected mode view: Hybrid
Mode Explorer
Hybrid mode details
Use the Strategy Modes cards above to switch between Official, Hybrid, and V2 Strict. This section updates to the selected mode without changing the underlying frozen record.
Selected mode
Hybrid
Confirmed HIGH_ODDS DC filter
Artifact Files
Frozen decision and mode report files
Selected Day Decision Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-13.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/2026-05-13.mdHybrid Mode Files
JSON
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-13.jsonMarkdown
src/data/strategy-engine/modes/2026-05-13.mdMode Funnel
How the selected day narrows from official to hybrid to V2
2 -> 0 -> 0
Official
2
Published frozen picks
Hybrid
0
2 removed from official
V2 Strict
0
0 removed from hybrid
Dropped: Official -> Hybrid
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
high_dc_core • DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1
This pick falls outside the hybrid confirmation slice for a broader structural reason.
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla
high_dc_mixed • DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93
This pick falls outside the hybrid confirmation slice for a broader structural reason.
Dropped: Hybrid -> V2
No picks were removed going from hybrid to V2 strict.
Historical Funnel
How the full frozen history narrows from official to hybrid to V2
91 -> 68 -> 29
Official History
91
-3.49% settled ROI
Hybrid History
68
-10.7% settled ROI
V2 History
29
-2.64% settled ROI
Top League Removals: Official -> Hybrid
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3|Spain
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.06.
II Liga - East|Poland
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.83.
Primera Nacional|Argentina
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 1.75.
Liga Nacional|Guatemala
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 3.55.
Ligue 1|Algeria
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the official -> hybrid step, with average removed odds of 2.85.
Top League Removals: Hybrid -> V2
CONMEBOL Libertadores|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.17.
Friendlies|World
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.1.
MLS Next Pro|USA
2 removed picks
This league contributed 2 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.08.
I-League|India
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Serie C - Girone C|Italy
1 removed picks
This league contributed 1 removals in the hybrid -> V2 step, with average removed odds of 2.2.
Reason Buckets: Official -> Hybrid
Odds Below 1.91
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Rank Above 7
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the hybrid confirmation filter.
Odds Bands: Official -> Hybrid
1.61-1.90
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
>2.20
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows where the hybrid filter is trimming price structure most aggressively.
Sleeves: Official -> Hybrid
high_dc_balanced
16 removed picks
Average removed odds: 1.75. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
high_dc_ladder
7 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.62. This shows which official sleeve families are losing the most volume at the hybrid gate.
Reason Buckets: Hybrid -> V2
Odds At Or Below 2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This is one of the main structural reasons picks fail the V2 premium filter.
Odds Bands: Hybrid -> V2
1.91-2.20
39 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.05. This shows which price zones are being cut when the premium-only V2 core takes over.
Sleeves: Hybrid -> V2
high_dc_core
25 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.04. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
high_dc_mixed
14 removed picks
Average removed odds: 2.06. This shows which hybrid sleeve families disappear when we move to the stricter V2 premium core.
Current Mode Picks
Hybrid picks for the selected day
This is the operational card for the currently selected mode. Everything below here is what that mode would actually publish for the selected day.
No official picks pass the hybrid confirmation filter for this day.
Mode Ledger
Hybrid cumulative performance from frozen daily decisions
This curve is derived from the same frozen daily decisions as the official ledger, but filtered through the selected mode. It gives each mode its own honest cumulative path without rewriting the published record.
Starting bankroll
$10,000
Final bankroll
$9,191
Total profit
-$809
Max drawdown
10.13%
Total bets
68
Win rate
33.8%
ROI
-16.34%
Mode History
Hybrid settled bet history
60 settled • $9,191
This is the frozen historical ledger for the selected mode only. Open it when you want the full bet-by-bet audit trail.
| Date | Match | Sleeve | Pick | Stake | Result | Profit | Bankroll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Petržalka vs Liptovský Mikuláš 2. liga, Slovakia | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,191 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sharjah FC vs Khorfakkan Pro League, United-Arab-Emirates | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,291 |
| 2026-05-15 | Karvan vs Qabala Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan | high_dc_core | HOME_DRAW @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,391 |
| 2026-05-15 | Penang vs DPMM FC Brunei Super League, Malaysia | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.95 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,491 |
| 2026-05-14 | Vestri vs Grotta Cup, Iceland | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.2u +$120 | $9,591 |
| 2026-05-14 | Red Arrows vs Green Eagles Super League, Zambia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,471 |
| 2026-05-14 | Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Herediano Primera División, Costa-Rica | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,571 |
| 2026-05-14 | Huntsville City vs FC Cincinnati II MLS Next Pro, USA | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.95 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,671 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bogota FC vs Barranquilla Primera B, Colombia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,771 |
| 2026-05-13 | PAOK vs AEK Athens FC Super League 1, Greece | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.1u +$110 | $9,771 |
| 2026-05-12 | Ittihad Kalba U23 vs Al Nasr U23 Pro League U23, United-Arab-Emirates | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | WIN | +0.91u +$91 | $9,661 |
| 2026-05-11 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Primera División, Peru | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,570 |
| 2026-05-10 | Rockdale City Suns vs Sydney FC U23 New South Wales NPL, Australia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,670 |
| 2026-05-10 | Magic United vs WDSC Wolves Queensland NPL, Australia | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2.25 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,770 |
| 2026-05-10 | Durango vs Deportiva Venados Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.15 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.15u +$115 | $9,870 |
| 2026-05-10 | Minnesota United II vs North Texas MLS Next Pro, USA | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.2u +$120 | $9,755 |
| 2026-05-09 | Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC USL Championship, USA | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.1u +$110 | $9,635 |
| 2026-05-09 | Luftëtari vs Sopoti Librazhd 1st Division, Albania | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1u +$100 | $9,525 |
| 2026-05-06 | Talleres Córdoba Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. Reserve League, Argentina | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,425 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vitória U20 vs Cuiabá U20 Brasileiro U20 A, Brazil | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,425 |
| 2026-05-06 | Pafos vs Omonia Nicosia 1. Division, Cyprus | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.2u +$120 | $9,525 |
| 2026-05-06 | Always Ready vs Lanus CONMEBOL Libertadores, World | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,405 |
| 2026-05-05 | Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores, World | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2.15 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,505 |
| 2026-05-05 | Al Ahly vs Enppi Premier League, Egypt | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,505 |
| 2026-05-05 | Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Premier League, Bahrain | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,605 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Premier League, England | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.15 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.15u +$115 | $9,705 |
| 2026-05-04 | Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 Professional Development League, England | high_dc_core | HOME_DRAW @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,590 |
| 2026-05-02 | Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC Thai League 1, Thailand | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,690 |
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting CP U19 vs Santa Clara U19 Júniores U19, Portugal | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.95 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,740 |
| 2026-04-29 | Karviná II vs Vrchovina 3. liga - MSFL, Czech-Republic | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.05u +$105 | $9,840 |
| 2026-04-27 | Struga vs Sileks First League, Macedonia | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,735 |
| 2026-04-22 | Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka First League, Russia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.49 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,835 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bahia vs Remo Copa Do Brasil, Brazil | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,885 |
| 2026-04-21 | Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya Liga Nacional, Guatemala | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.45 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,885 |
| 2026-04-17 | Al Riffa vs A'Ali Premier League, Bahrain | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,935 |
| 2026-04-17 | Dunav Ruse vs Marek Second League, Bulgaria | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.88 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.88u +$94 | $9,985 |
| 2026-04-17 | San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,891 |
| 2026-04-16 | Spartak Pleven vs Fratria Second League, Bulgaria | high_dc_premium | HOME_DRAW @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.3u +$65 | $9,941 |
| 2026-04-15 | Ituano vs Votuporanguense Paulista - A2, Brazil | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,876 |
| 2026-04-15 | Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira CONMEBOL Libertadores, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 4.2 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +3.2u +$160 | $9,876 |
| 2026-04-14 | Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Herzliya Liga Leumit, Israel | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.3u +$65 | $9,716 |
| 2026-04-14 | Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.4 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,651 |
| 2026-04-13 | Al Jabalain vs Al Jubail Division 1, Saudi-Arabia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.65 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,651 |
| 2026-04-12 | Ibiza vs Juventud Torremolinos Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,701 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pardubice II vs Kolín 3. liga - CFL B, Czech-Republic | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.35 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,751 |
| 2026-04-11 | Comunicaciones vs Aurora Liga Nacional, Guatemala | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,801 |
| 2026-04-10 | Smail vs Al-Shabab Professional League, Oman | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,901 |
| 2026-04-10 | MO Constantine vs Nrb Beni Oulbene Ligue 2, Algeria | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 3 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +2u +$100 | $10,001 |
| 2026-04-10 | Goa vs Odisha Indian Super League, India | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.38 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,901 |
| 2026-04-09 | H&H Export vs Real Madriz Primera Division, Nicaragua | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $9,951 |
| 2026-04-09 | Al Ula vs Abha Division 1, Saudi-Arabia | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.93 | 1u $100 | WIN | +0.93u +$93 | $9,951 |
| 2026-04-07 | Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners A-League, Australia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.8 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $9,858 |
| 2026-04-06 | Casarano vs Potenza Serie C - Girone C, Italy | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,908 |
| 2026-04-06 | Brentford U21 vs Cardiff City U21 Professional Development League, England | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.5 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,008 |
| 2026-04-06 | SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.3 | 0.5u $50 | LOSS | -1u -$50 | $10,058 |
| 2026-04-05 | Muangthong United vs Chiangrai United Thai League 1, Thailand | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 1.91 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,108 |
| 2026-04-05 | Haninge vs Forward Division 2 - Södra Svealand, Sweden | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.63 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.63u +$82 | $10,208 |
| 2026-04-04 | CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau Liga II, Romania | high_dc_mixed | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.1 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,127 |
| 2026-04-03 | Birmingham City U21 vs Everton U21 Premier League 2 Division One, England | high_dc_mixed | HOME_DRAW @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.05u +$105 | $10,227 |
| 2026-04-02 | ROHDA Raalte vs Dovo Derde Divisie - Saturday, Netherlands | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.25u +$63 | $10,122 |
| 2026-04-01 | Santa Fe vs Llaneros Primera A, Colombia | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.25 | 0.5u $50 | PENDING | 0u +$0 | $10,059 |
| 2026-03-31 | England vs Japan Friendlies, World | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.4 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.4u +$70 | $10,059 |
| 2026-03-31 | China PR U20 vs Australia U20 Friendlies, World | high_dc_core | HOME_DRAW @ 2.05 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $9,989 |
| 2026-03-30 | Cyprus vs Moldova Friendlies, World | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.15 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,089 |
| 2026-03-29 | Benevento vs Cosenza Serie C - Girone C, Italy | high_dc_premium | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.38 | 0.5u $50 | WIN | +1.38u +$69 | $10,189 |
| 2026-03-28 | Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Liga 2, Indonesia | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | LOSS | -1u -$100 | $10,120 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oberwart vs Donau Regionalliga - Ost, Austria | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1u +$100 | $10,220 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gokulam vs Shillong Lajong I-League, India | high_dc_core | DRAW_AWAY @ 2.2 | 1u $100 | WIN | +1.2u +$120 | $10,120 |
Ruleset Cross-Check
Official engine versus selected-day V2 strict slice
The official engine below is still the frozen tipster record. This comparison now uses the selected day's own frozen picks filtered through the stricter `V2` rules, so older dates no longer inherit the latest premium candidate.
Official picks
2
Current frozen engine recommendations
V2 picks
0
Selected-day picks that survive the V2 strict filter
Official ROI
-3.49%
Settled ROI from the official frozen tipster ledger
V2 ROI
6.8%
Historical ROI of the stricter V2 candidate ruleset
Overlap
0
Official picks that also pass the V2 core
Official-only
2
Official picks outside the stricter V2 core
V2-only
0
V2 picks missing from the official engine
Official Engine Picks
2026-05-13
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
high_dc_core • Super League 1|Greece
DRAW_AWAY@ 2.11uRank 4
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla
high_dc_mixed • Primera B|Colombia
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.931uRank 7
Selected-Day V2 Strict
2026-05-13
V2 Strict
The selected day has no picks that survive the V2 strict filter.
Upgrade Lens
What if we kept only the V2-style official bets?
This uses the frozen official ledger and applies the current V2 core filter retrospectively to those published bets. It gives us a first read on whether a stricter upgrade would improve quality enough to justify the lost volume.
Official sample
81
Settled bets in the official frozen ledger
Official ROI
-3.49%
Current official settled ROI
V2-filtered sample
25
30.86% of official settled volume retained
V2-filtered ROI
-2.64%
Settled ROI from the stricter premium-only slice
Filtered away
69.14%
Share of official settled volume sitting outside the V2 core
Official Frozen Ledger
81 bets-3.49% ROI-2.83u44.44% hit rate2.18 avg odds
Hybrid Confirmed Ledger
60 bets-10.7% ROI-6.42u38.33% hit rate2.27 avg odds
V2-Filtered Official Ledger
25 bets-2.64% ROI-0.66u36% hit rate2.58 avg odds
Hybrid sample
60
74.07% of official settled volume retained
Hybrid ROI
-10.7%
Settled ROI from confirmed high-odds DC official bets
Today hybrid picks
0
Current official picks that pass the hybrid confirmation filter
Outside V2 ROI
-3.88%
Settled ROI from official bets outside the strict premium core
Mode framing
Official: the current published frozen engine.
Hybrid: official picks trimmed to
HIGH_ODDS + DC + odds >=1.91 + rank <=7 + not blocked league.V2 strict: the premium-only core above `2.20` odds.
Shared Picks
No official picks currently overlap with the stricter V2 core.
Official But Not V2
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
high_dc_core • Super League 1|Greece
DRAW_AWAY@ 2.11u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 2.1, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla
high_dc_mixed • Primera B|Colombia
DRAW_AWAY@ 1.931u
The official engine likes this, but V2 rejects it because its odds are 1.93, below the V2 premium threshold of 2.21+.
V2 But Not Official
The official engine is not missing any of today’s V2 core candidates.