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Strategy Lab

High Odds EV Challenger

Review this experimental football betting strategy, compare its results, and see how it performs against the main TipSignal approach.

Status
experimental
Family
high-odds-ev
Scope
Research
Strategy Lab

Experimental strategy

This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.

Promotion guardrail

Challenger optimizer status versus the production baseline

This optimizer still evaluates the challenger inside the legacy snapshot-ranking framework. It is useful for comparing challenger config versions against the production baseline, but it does not yet optimize or promote the newer strategy-engine modes like official, hybrid, or v2.

Baseline live
baseline
Production track id
Challenger live
optimizer-2026-04-05T23-36-08-245Z
Current challenger live config
Full ROI delta
-0.72 pts
Current live challenger vs baseline
Last challenger decision
Rejected
Internal challenger promotion only
Live Version
optimizer-2026-04-05T23-36-08-245Z
Promoted Apr 6, 2026, 1:47 AM
Latest Candidate
optimizer-2026-05-16T00-54-37-968Z
Generated May 16, 2026, 2:54 AM
Last Run Status
Rejected candidate
Live config retained
Last Run Time
May 16, 2026, 3:37 AM
0 tracked runs

Current vs Candidate

Latest optimization decision deltas from the stored report artifacts.

Rejected
ROI Delta
+0.14 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.06 pts
Drawdown Delta
+1.59u
Avg Picks Delta
0.00
Decision reasons
  • No promotable candidate passed validation; current live config retained
  • ROI improvement below minimum threshold

Validation Windows

Candidate metrics versus current live metrics for recent, medium, and full history windows.

recent
Apr 17, 2026, 2:00 AM to May 16, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-1.87%
Hit rate
64.81%
Drawdown
23.17u
Picks/day
19.13
Candidate
ROI
-1.13%
Hit rate
65.16%
Drawdown
23.17u
Picks/day
19.13
medium
Feb 16, 2026, 1:00 AM to May 16, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-3.37%
Hit rate
64.36%
Drawdown
43.19u
Picks/day
18.92
Candidate
ROI
-3.29%
Hit rate
64.36%
Drawdown
44.78u
Picks/day
18.92
full
Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to May 16, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-3.15%
Hit rate
64.63%
Drawdown
46.72u
Picks/day
15.94
Candidate
ROI
-3.00%
Hit rate
64.69%
Drawdown
48.31u
Picks/day
15.94

Changed Parameters

Numeric configuration deltas in the latest optimization run.

PathPreviousNew
leagueQuality.lowAnchor0.30.28

Accepted Versions

optimizer-2026-04-05T23-36-08-245Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 6, 2026, 1:36 AM
Promoted Apr 6, 2026, 1:47 AM
optimizer-2026-04-05T22-52-44-455Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 AM
Promoted Apr 6, 2026, 1:05 AM
optimizer-2026-04-04T22-58-43-334Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 5, 2026, 12:58 AM
Promoted Apr 5, 2026, 1:10 AM
optimizer-2026-04-03T22-58-39-097Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 4, 2026, 12:58 AM
Promoted Apr 4, 2026, 1:09 AM
optimizer-2026-04-03T12-34-37-567Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 3, 2026, 2:34 PM
Promoted Apr 3, 2026, 2:45 PM

Run History

Every stored optimizer run, including rejected candidates.

No run history available yet.