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Strategy Lab

High Odds EV Challenger

Review this experimental football betting strategy, compare its results, and see how it performs against the main TipSignal approach.

Status
experimental
Family
high-odds-ev
Scope
Research
Strategy Lab

Experimental strategy

This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.

Guarded optimizer

Adaptive Optimizer

This optimizer tests high-upside adaptive, accelerator, and parlay variants with walk-forward evidence only. It may apply a candidate only when the system passes sample, drawdown, lower-EV, and stop-line RoR guardrails.

Active config
high-odds-system-2026-05-16T01-46-26-044Z
Mode active
Target date
2026-05-16
active config date
Last run
May 16, 2026, 3:46 AM
candidate accepted
History
12
stored optimizer runs

Latest Decisions

Adaptive
Applied
adaptive-flex-rank8
Passed guardrails with score 59.3.

Tested Variants

Ranked by balanced score after growth, ROI, sample, drawdown, worst-period, and RoR penalties.

Adaptive
Flex Rank 8
adaptive-flex-rank8
Passed
Score
59.3
active
Growth
+46.9%
195 bets
ROI
+19.2%
59.5% WR
Drawdown
-5.1%
max decline
RoR
+0.2%
stop-line risk
Passed guardrails with score 59.3.
Adaptive
Rank 7 + pCal Floor
adaptive-rank7-pcal84
Passed
Score
45.3
active
Growth
+36.5%
168 bets
ROI
+17.8%
58.3% WR
Drawdown
-4.9%
max decline
RoR
+0.8%
stop-line risk
Passed guardrails with score 45.3.
Adaptive
Adaptive Core
adaptive-core
Passed
Score
44.9
active
Growth
+37.3%
170 bets
ROI
+17.9%
58.2% WR
Drawdown
-5.9%
max decline
RoR
+0.4%
stop-line risk
Passed guardrails with score 44.9.
Adaptive
Defensive Rank 5
adaptive-defensive-rank5
Passed
Score
35.6
active
Growth
+30.5%
122 bets
ROI
+21.1%
59.8% WR
Drawdown
-5.9%
max decline
RoR
+0.2%
stop-line risk
Passed guardrails with score 35.6.
Adaptive
Premium 2.21+
adaptive-premium-221
Rejected
Score
-0.1
watch
Growth
+2.2%
13 bets
ROI
+16.6%
46.2% WR
Drawdown
-4.1%
max decline
RoR
0.0%
stop-line risk
sample 13 < 60; lower EV -23.6% < 0%; score -0.1 < 12

Recent Runs

high-odds-system-2026-05-16T01-46-26-044Z
Target 2026-05-16 • lookback through 2026-05-15
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-15T01-48-48-899Z
Target 2026-05-15 • lookback through 2026-05-14
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-14T01-59-59-619Z
Target 2026-05-14 • lookback through 2026-05-13
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-13T01-54-36-476Z
Target 2026-05-13 • lookback through 2026-05-12
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-12T01-57-37-644Z
Target 2026-05-12 • lookback through 2026-05-11
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-11T01-02-01-306Z
Target 2026-05-11 • lookback through 2026-05-10
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-10T01-42-27-110Z
Target 2026-05-10 • lookback through 2026-05-09
Accepted
high-odds-system-2026-05-09T01-54-10-830Z
Target 2026-05-09 • lookback through 2026-05-08
Accepted