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Strategy Lab / signal-weighted

Signal Weighted Challenger

Experimental shortlist ranking that gives EV, calibrated probability, comparison score, and odds quality a more active role than the live production strategy.

Strategy Lab

Experimental strategy

This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.

Comparison summary

Current challenger metrics against the live production baseline

recent
-3.29 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-2.01%
Challenger ROI
-5.30%
Baseline hit rate
63.14%
Challenger hit rate
58.53%
Baseline drawdown
28.16u
Challenger drawdown
29.60u
Baseline picks/day
19.53
Challenger picks/day
19.53
Positive CLV
40.99%
Avg CLV delta
0.0078
medium
-3.32 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-2.63%
Challenger ROI
-5.96%
Baseline hit rate
63.39%
Challenger hit rate
58.77%
Baseline drawdown
35.29u
Challenger drawdown
51.67u
Baseline picks/day
15.04
Challenger picks/day
15.18
Positive CLV
36.48%
Avg CLV delta
0.0048
full
-3.32 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-2.63%
Challenger ROI
-5.96%
Baseline hit rate
63.39%
Challenger hit rate
58.77%
Baseline drawdown
35.29u
Challenger drawdown
51.67u
Baseline picks/day
15.04
Challenger picks/day
15.18
Positive CLV
36.48%
Avg CLV delta
0.0048
Live configuration bias

Safe odds weights

Historical yield
28
League quality
5
EV score
1.5
pCal score
1.5
Comparison score
12
Odds quality
8
Live configuration bias

High odds weights

Historical yield
15
League quality
5
EV score
40
pCal score
22
Comparison score
12
Odds quality
1.5