Strategy Lab / signal-weighted
Signal Weighted Challenger
Experimental shortlist ranking that gives EV, calibrated probability, comparison score, and odds quality a more active role than the live production strategy.
Strategy Lab
Experimental strategy
This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.
Promotion guardrail
Challenger optimizer status versus the production baseline
This optimizer still evaluates the challenger inside the legacy snapshot-ranking framework. It is useful for comparing challenger config versions against the production baseline, but it does not yet optimize or promote the newer strategy-engine modes like official, hybrid, or v2.
Baseline live
baseline
Production track id
Challenger live
optimizer-2026-04-13T23-17-31-241Z
Current challenger live config
Full ROI delta
-3.32 pts
Current live challenger vs baseline
Last challenger decision
Accepted
Internal challenger promotion only
Live Version
optimizer-2026-04-13T23-17-31-241Z
Promoted Apr 14, 2026, 1:34 AM
Latest Candidate
optimizer-2026-04-13T23-17-31-241Z
Generated Apr 14, 2026, 1:17 AM
Last Run Status
Accepted
Parent optimizer-2026-04-12T23-21-07-540Z
Last Run Time
Apr 14, 2026, 1:34 AM
13 tracked runs
Current vs Candidate
Latest optimization decision deltas from the stored report artifacts.
ROI Delta
+0.64 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+3.93 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Avg Picks Delta
0.00
Decision reasons
- Candidate passed ROI, stability, and volume checks
Validation Windows
Candidate metrics versus current live metrics for recent, medium, and full history windows.
recent
Mar 15, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-5.30%
Hit rate
58.53%
Drawdown
29.60u
Picks/day
19.53
Candidate
ROI
-3.61%
Hit rate
63.65%
Drawdown
29.60u
Picks/day
19.53
medium
Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-5.96%
Hit rate
58.77%
Drawdown
51.67u
Picks/day
15.18
Candidate
ROI
-5.32%
Hit rate
62.70%
Drawdown
51.67u
Picks/day
15.18
full
Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Current
ROI
-5.96%
Hit rate
58.77%
Drawdown
51.67u
Picks/day
15.18
Candidate
ROI
-5.32%
Hit rate
62.70%
Drawdown
51.67u
Picks/day
15.18
Changed Parameters
Numeric configuration deltas in the latest optimization run.
| Path | Previous | New |
|---|---|---|
| safeOdds.weights.evScore | 32 | 1.5 |
Accepted Versions
optimizer-2026-04-13T23-17-31-241Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 14, 2026, 1:17 AM
Promoted Apr 14, 2026, 1:34 AM
optimizer-2026-04-12T23-21-07-540Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 13, 2026, 1:21 AM
Promoted Apr 13, 2026, 1:42 AM
optimizer-2026-04-04T22-56-41-594Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 5, 2026, 12:56 AM
Promoted Apr 5, 2026, 1:08 AM
optimizer-2026-04-03T22-56-37-707Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 4, 2026, 12:56 AM
Promoted Apr 4, 2026, 1:07 AM
optimizer-2026-04-03T11-41-03-814Z
optimizer
Generated Apr 3, 2026, 1:41 PM
Promoted Apr 3, 2026, 1:51 PM
Run History
Every stored optimizer run, including rejected candidates.
optimizer-2026-04-13T23-17-31-241Z
Run run-2026-04-13T23-34-59-858Z • Finished Apr 14, 2026, 1:34 AM
ROI
-5.32%
Hit Rate
62.70%
Drawdown
51.67u
Picks/Day
15.18
ROI Delta
+0.64 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+3.93 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-12T23-21-07-540Z
Run run-2026-04-12T23-42-39-103Z • Finished Apr 13, 2026, 1:42 AM
ROI
-5.69%
Hit Rate
58.92%
Drawdown
50.34u
Picks/Day
15.12
ROI Delta
+0.31 pts
Hit Rate Delta
-0.09 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-11T23-21-17-492Z
Run run-2026-04-11T23-42-10-759Z • Finished Apr 12, 2026, 1:42 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.80%
Hit Rate
59.89%
Drawdown
45.25u
Picks/Day
15.23
ROI Delta
+0.48 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.46 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.17
optimizer-2026-04-10T23-15-37-985Z
Run run-2026-04-10T23-31-16-429Z • Finished Apr 11, 2026, 1:31 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.40%
Hit Rate
60.16%
Drawdown
42.91u
Picks/Day
15.16
ROI Delta
+0.49 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.47 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.18
optimizer-2026-04-09T23-11-53-579Z
Run run-2026-04-09T23-25-44-630Z • Finished Apr 10, 2026, 1:25 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.00%
Hit Rate
60.44%
Drawdown
42.91u
Picks/Day
14.89
ROI Delta
+0.49 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.47 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.18
optimizer-2026-04-08T23-12-12-640Z
Run run-2026-04-08T23-26-00-480Z • Finished Apr 9, 2026, 1:26 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.51%
Hit Rate
60.07%
Drawdown
42.91u
Picks/Day
15.10
ROI Delta
+0.50 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.48 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.18
optimizer-2026-04-07T23-14-09-275Z
Run run-2026-04-07T23-29-00-705Z • Finished Apr 8, 2026, 1:29 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.67%
Hit Rate
59.98%
Drawdown
41.94u
Picks/Day
15.03
ROI Delta
+0.52 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.49 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.18
optimizer-2026-04-06T23-13-12-950Z
Run run-2026-04-06T23-27-37-196Z • Finished Apr 7, 2026, 1:27 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.63%
Hit Rate
59.98%
Drawdown
39.28u
Picks/Day
14.96
ROI Delta
+0.53 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.50 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.19
optimizer-2026-04-05T23-10-29-797Z
Run run-2026-04-05T23-22-35-190Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 1:22 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.25%
Hit Rate
60.18%
Drawdown
33.99u
Picks/Day
14.88
ROI Delta
+0.53 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.51 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.19
optimizer-2026-04-05T22-50-42-425Z
Run run-2026-04-05T23-03-37-647Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 1:03 AM
Candidate evaluated • Live config retained
ROI
-4.25%
Hit Rate
60.18%
Drawdown
33.99u
Picks/Day
14.88
ROI Delta
+0.53 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.51 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.19
optimizer-2026-04-04T22-56-41-594Z
Run run-2026-04-04T23-08-20-673Z • Finished Apr 5, 2026, 1:08 AM
ROI
-5.05%
Hit Rate
59.56%
Drawdown
32.35u
Picks/Day
14.62
ROI Delta
+0.29 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.14 pts
Drawdown Delta
-1.39u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.09
optimizer-2026-04-03T22-56-37-707Z
Run run-2026-04-03T23-07-44-429Z • Finished Apr 4, 2026, 1:07 AM
ROI
-4.97%
Hit Rate
59.61%
Drawdown
33.74u
Picks/Day
14.24
ROI Delta
+0.78 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.83 pts
Drawdown Delta
-5.85u
Picks/Day Delta
0.00
optimizer-2026-04-03T11-41-03-814Z
Run run-2026-04-03T11-51-31-203Z • Finished Apr 3, 2026, 1:51 PM
ROI
-5.97%
Hit Rate
58.75%
Drawdown
39.59u
Picks/Day
14.33
ROI Delta
+0.78 pts
Hit Rate Delta
+0.36 pts
Drawdown Delta
0.00u
Picks/Day Delta
+0.09