Skip to content
Strategy Lab

CLV Aware Challenger

Review this experimental football betting strategy, compare its results, and see how it performs against the main TipSignal approach.

Status
experimental
Family
clv-aware
Scope
Research
Strategy Lab

Experimental strategy

This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.

Comparison summary

Current challenger metrics against the live production baseline

recent
+1.54 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-5.71%
Challenger ROI
-4.17%
Baseline hit rate
61.25%
Challenger hit rate
58.66%
Baseline drawdown
21.18u
Challenger drawdown
22.49u
Baseline picks/day
19.27
Challenger picks/day
18.87
Positive CLV
38.69%
Avg CLV delta
0.0062
medium
-2.20 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-2.83%
Challenger ROI
-5.03%
Baseline hit rate
62.96%
Challenger hit rate
58.35%
Baseline drawdown
35.50u
Challenger drawdown
56.24u
Baseline picks/day
19.29
Challenger picks/day
18.76
Positive CLV
36.22%
Avg CLV delta
0.0020
full
-2.50 pts ROI
Baseline ROI
-2.43%
Challenger ROI
-4.93%
Baseline hit rate
63.35%
Challenger hit rate
58.61%
Baseline drawdown
37.01u
Challenger drawdown
59.28u
Baseline picks/day
16.37
Challenger picks/day
15.84
Positive CLV
36.20%
Avg CLV delta
0.0020
Live configuration bias

Safe odds weights

Historical yield
50
League quality
5
EV score
24
pCal score
16
Comparison score
14
Odds quality
6
Live configuration bias

High odds weights

Historical yield
25
League quality
0.4
EV score
28
pCal score
18
Comparison score
16
Odds quality
8