Strategy Lab / clv-aware

CLV Aware Challenger

Experimental strategy family designed to test whether stronger pricing quality and closing-line behavior can improve promotion decisions over time.

Strategy Lab

Experimental strategy

This strategy family is tracked against the live TipSignal baseline, but it does not power the production picks, analytics, or bankroll pages. Use the lab to compare behavior, not to follow the picks in real betting.

Open the production best picks page

Overview Legacy Safe Legacy High Analytics Optimizer Simulator Results

Promotion guardrail

Challenger optimizer status versus the production baseline

This optimizer still evaluates the challenger inside the legacy snapshot-ranking framework. It is useful for comparing challenger config versions against the production baseline, but it does not yet optimize or promote the newer strategy-engine modes like official, hybrid, or v2.

Baseline live

baseline

Production track id

Challenger live

optimizer-2026-04-12T23-44-28-102Z

Current challenger live config

Full ROI delta

-4.24 pts

Current live challenger vs baseline

Last challenger decision

Rejected

Internal challenger promotion only

Live Version

optimizer-2026-04-12T23-44-28-102Z

Promoted Apr 13, 2026, 2:03 AM

Latest Candidate

optimizer-2026-04-13T23-36-38-291Z

Generated Apr 14, 2026, 1:36 AM

Last Run Status

Rejected candidate

Live config retained

Last Run Time

Apr 14, 2026, 1:53 AM

13 tracked runs

Current vs Candidate

Latest optimization decision deltas from the stored report artifacts.

Rejected

ROI Delta

+0.22 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.05 pts

Drawdown Delta

-5.79u

Avg Picks Delta

-0.32

Decision reasons

No promotable candidate passed validation; current live config retained
ROI improvement below minimum threshold

Validation Windows

Candidate metrics versus current live metrics for recent, medium, and full history windows.

recent

Mar 15, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM

Current

ROI

-6.13%

Hit rate

57.81%

Drawdown

27.26u

Picks/day

19.20

Candidate

ROI

-5.48%

Hit rate

58.02%

Drawdown

23.01u

Picks/day

18.90

medium

Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM

Current

ROI

-6.87%

Hit rate

58.06%

Drawdown

47.36u

Picks/day

14.83

Candidate

ROI

-6.65%

Hit rate

58.10%

Drawdown

41.57u

Picks/day

14.51

full

Jan 24, 2026, 1:00 AM to Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 AM

Current

ROI

-6.87%

Hit rate

58.06%

Drawdown

47.36u

Picks/day

14.83

Candidate

ROI

-6.65%

Hit rate

58.10%

Drawdown

41.57u

Picks/day

14.51

Changed Parameters

Numeric configuration deltas in the latest optimization run.

Path	Previous	New
highOdds.oddsBand.min	1.6	1.65

Accepted Versions

optimizer-2026-04-12T23-44-28-102Z

optimizer

Generated Apr 13, 2026, 1:44 AM

Promoted Apr 13, 2026, 2:03 AM

optimizer-2026-04-05T22-51-39-497Z

optimizer

Generated Apr 6, 2026, 12:51 AM

Promoted Apr 6, 2026, 1:04 AM

optimizer-2026-04-04T22-57-42-233Z

optimizer

Generated Apr 5, 2026, 12:57 AM

Promoted Apr 5, 2026, 1:09 AM

optimizer-2026-04-03T22-57-36-940Z

optimizer

Generated Apr 4, 2026, 12:57 AM

Promoted Apr 4, 2026, 1:08 AM

optimizer-2026-04-03T12-07-49-513Z

optimizer

Generated Apr 3, 2026, 2:07 PM

Promoted Apr 3, 2026, 2:18 PM

Run History

Every stored optimizer run, including rejected candidates.

optimizer-2026-04-13T23-36-38-291Z

Run run-2026-04-13T23-53-41-947Z • Finished Apr 14, 2026, 1:53 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-6.65%

Hit Rate

58.10%

Drawdown

41.57u

Picks/Day

14.51

ROI Delta

+0.22 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.05 pts

Drawdown Delta

-5.79u

Picks/Day Delta

-0.32

optimizer-2026-04-12T23-44-28-102Z

Run run-2026-04-13T00-03-42-955Z • Finished Apr 13, 2026, 2:03 AM

Accepted

ROI

-6.29%

Hit Rate

58.38%

Drawdown

44.61u

Picks/Day

14.76

ROI Delta

+0.27 pts

Hit Rate Delta

-0.09 pts

Drawdown Delta

-0.39u

Picks/Day Delta

0.00

optimizer-2026-04-11T23-44-15-469Z

Run run-2026-04-12T00-05-08-185Z • Finished Apr 12, 2026, 2:05 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.90%

Hit Rate

59.14%

Drawdown

43.14u

Picks/Day

14.75

ROI Delta

+0.25 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.43 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.63u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.25

optimizer-2026-04-10T23-32-43-736Z

Run run-2026-04-10T23-49-05-231Z • Finished Apr 11, 2026, 1:49 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.52%

Hit Rate

59.40%

Drawdown

43.14u

Picks/Day

14.68

ROI Delta

+0.25 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.44 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.63u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.25

optimizer-2026-04-09T23-27-08-708Z

Run run-2026-04-09T23-41-17-206Z • Finished Apr 10, 2026, 1:41 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.45%

Hit Rate

59.48%

Drawdown

43.14u

Picks/Day

14.61

ROI Delta

+0.25 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.44 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.63u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.26

optimizer-2026-04-08T23-27-19-642Z

Run run-2026-04-08T23-40-55-030Z • Finished Apr 9, 2026, 1:40 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.84%

Hit Rate

59.19%

Drawdown

43.14u

Picks/Day

14.81

ROI Delta

+0.20 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.41 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.63u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.25

optimizer-2026-04-07T23-30-29-586Z

Run run-2026-04-07T23-44-28-601Z • Finished Apr 8, 2026, 1:44 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.92%

Hit Rate

59.18%

Drawdown

42.17u

Picks/Day

14.73

ROI Delta

+0.21 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.42 pts

Drawdown Delta

+2.30u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.25

optimizer-2026-04-06T23-29-00-505Z

Run run-2026-04-06T23-41-58-065Z • Finished Apr 7, 2026, 1:41 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.39%

Hit Rate

59.45%

Drawdown

36.55u

Picks/Day

14.66

ROI Delta

+0.10 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.33 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.34u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.26

optimizer-2026-04-05T23-23-44-046Z

Run run-2026-04-05T23-34-55-963Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 1:34 AM

Candidate evaluated • Live config retained

Rejected

ROI

-5.21%

Hit Rate

59.54%

Drawdown

36.55u

Picks/Day

14.58

ROI Delta

+0.10 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.33 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.34u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.26

optimizer-2026-04-05T22-51-39-497Z

Run run-2026-04-05T23-04-14-320Z • Finished Apr 6, 2026, 1:04 AM

Accepted

ROI

-5.31%

Hit Rate

59.21%

Drawdown

36.21u

Picks/Day

14.32

ROI Delta

+0.34 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.20 pts

Drawdown Delta

-1.29u

Picks/Day Delta

0.00

optimizer-2026-04-04T22-57-42-233Z

Run run-2026-04-04T23-09-13-497Z • Finished Apr 5, 2026, 1:09 AM

Accepted

ROI

-5.71%

Hit Rate

58.99%

Drawdown

37.50u

Picks/Day

14.24

ROI Delta

+0.25 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.07 pts

Drawdown Delta

+1.58u

Picks/Day Delta

+0.13

optimizer-2026-04-03T22-57-36-940Z

Run run-2026-04-03T23-08-20-262Z • Finished Apr 4, 2026, 1:08 AM

Accepted

ROI

-5.61%

Hit Rate

59.11%

Drawdown

35.50u

Picks/Day

13.81

ROI Delta

+0.37 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.21 pts

Drawdown Delta

+0.30u

Picks/Day Delta

0.00

optimizer-2026-04-03T12-07-49-513Z

Run run-2026-04-03T12-18-06-303Z • Finished Apr 3, 2026, 2:18 PM

Accepted

ROI

-6.32%

Hit Rate

58.80%

Drawdown

35.20u

Picks/Day

13.91

ROI Delta

+0.56 pts

Hit Rate Delta

+0.43 pts

Drawdown Delta

-4.04u

Picks/Day Delta

0.00